I only had a few friends at [the last megacorporation I worked for], mostly the ones who didn't quite fit in.
One of them is a big fan of H.P. Lovecraft, who I only really know of because of
Robert Anton Wilson. When I was going through the
PBF archives, I found this strip and thought of my Lovecraftian former colleague:

(Click to Enlarge)
The resulting exchange was quite the nonsequitur:
Subject: Re: Enter a New World
I have another question for you. I recall some time ago you mentioned to me the importance of gold as part of a financial portfolio.
OK, I'll start with the most practical stuff and work toward the more general.
You should have somewhere between 10-20% of your portfolio in hedge funds. A hedge is when you "invest" in something not because you expect its value to go up, but when you expect its value to stay stable as the value of money falls. The hedge is against inflation.
(What most people mean by "inflation" is prices going up, but price inflation is actually the effect and monetary inflation the cause: monetary inflation means the government is creating more dollars out of thin air -- either by printing them or through fractional reserve banking, which I won't go into here. As the supply of a thing goes up, all else equal, its value goes down. This is as true of the supply of money as it is of anything else. What it means for the value of a dollar to go down is that you can buy less stuff with it.)
Can you please go over the basics for me once again,
There are different things you can invest in as hedges, but precious metals are the standards.
The 3 most commonly traded precious metals are silver, gold, platinum. Silver and gold used to be money. What constitutes money is a fascinating question that too few people understand. It's what I wrote my Gilligan's Island article about last year:
http://www.mises.org/story/1595
The advantage of silver over gold is that silver is easier to acquire for fewer dollars. This is also its disadvantage, because bigger investments of dollars requires more storage space for more silver. Gold gives you more bang for your buck. Platinum gives even more of a dollar-bang, but its supply is less stable, because it's been mined only more recently in history and new supplies are always being found. What makes the price of gold and silver relatively "stable" (another term to discuss) is that the increases and decreases in supply are miniscule compared to the current supply we have from centuries (or millennia) of mining.
and recommend some reputable dealers?
I started buying gold at about $330/ounce at the Jefferson Coin Shop in Charlottesville. I bought one coin. I paid sales tax on it.
I didn't decide to move any substantial money into gold until the price was up to around $375/ounce. At that point, I ordered from a website that was then called www.CheaperGold.com but is now called
www.APMEX.com (American Precious Metal EXchange). I did it in 2 purchases, because I was very nervous about moving that amount of money. I also confirmed the existence of the company with their local bank and with the Better Business Bureau in their area. By the time my first box of gold showed up, the price had climbed closer to $400/ounce, and I was now confident in buying my second batch from them. At this point, I might use Burt Blumert instead --
http://www.lewrockwell.com/blumert/burt-gold.html -- but that's because I know people who know him, and I like the idea of supporting his business. When I originally chose CheaperGold.com, it was because they were true to their name, based on a bunch of comparison shopping I did online.
Oh, another thing: the first batch of gold I ordered were 1-ounce krugerrands (South African government) because they were the lowest over spot. A gold coin sells for the current spot price of gold, plus a certain premium. The premiums vary not only by dealer, but by type of coin. The spot price you can look up at either of the above websites, or here:
http://www.kitco.com/The problem with krugerrands is that they don't sell as easily in the US as they do elsewhere. So I save on the purchase end, but might have a slightly harder time liquidating them in the future. The second batch were American Eagles (US government). The American Eagle 1-ounce gold coin is the easiest to liquidate later, which means you pay a higher premium when you purchase.
One last bit of practical advice. I think big gold investments can only be made a handful of times for people like us. Either when we're converting past savings or investment, or when we have a rare windfall. But you can spend $10/week on silver coins and do better than you would putting $10/week into a savings account. I recommend the habit, although I haven't practiced it up here in Pennsylvania, as I don't have a convenient coin store. It was easy in Charlottesville. (In fact, forget about $10/week. Just buy a one-ounce silver dollar each week; that way you can watch the dollar-price rise as the value of the dollar falls.)
Mark Thornton has a very nice, short article on the "traditional investment strategy" here:
http://www.lewrockwell.com/thornton/thornton12.html
The summary is this: you should have enough money for a month's worth of expenses in your checking account, two months worth in a savings account, and three months worth in a CD. In other words, you should have 6 months of emergency liquidity before you worry about investments. Only at that point does it become relevant how much of your portfolio is in real estate, stocks, bonds, or a gold hedge. I wish I'd had that advice long ago. I was one of the idiots who put his windfalls into the stock market.
Another question. Why does gold have the value it does?
So what does it mean for something to have value? I try to address that in the Gilligan article and more specifically here:
http://www.bkmarcus.com/blog/2005/06/value.html
Gold has exchange value because people want it, and people want it for all the reasons it made such a good money:
- its stable supply makes it a convenient store of wealth (i.e., hedge, in an inflationary context);
- it's fungible, which means, for example, that a half an ounce of gold has approximately half the exchange value of an ounce of gold;
- it's scarce enough that a little bit of weight represents a lot of wealth, compared to other metals (see comment on silver and platinum above);
- it's marketable and easily liquidated, meaning that people will acquire it from you readily.
But let me reiterate: it's not an investment in the traditional sense. You don't invest in gold because you expect it to become more valuable. You invest in gold because you expect it to
hold its value.
What it means for the value of an ounce of gold to remain stable is
not that its dollar price remains stable, but that you can buy more or less the same amount of stuff with it. The price of a nice suit in Renaissance England was about an ounce of gold. The price of a nice suit in the year 1900, was about $20 -- when the legal definition of a dollar was 1/20 ounce of gold. Today, an ounce of gold is over $450. Have you checked the price of a nice suite lately?
The context for all this is the constantly falling value of the dollar. What cost $1 a hundred years ago would cost over $20 now. That is not a natural or inevitable process. What cost $1 in 1805 would cost 60¢ in 1905! What's the difference? In the 19th century, the money was gold. The money supply was stable compared to the growing number of goods and services against which money could be exchanged. In the 20th century, governments got rid of the gold standard and created central banks to inflate the supply of paper money. This benefits politicians and bankers but is devastating to the rest of us.
(You can google
"inflation calculator" to find the tools for these calculations.)
I beg you to read this very small, very readable book:

It's $5, or you can read an electronic copy here:
http://www.mises.org/money.asp
I'd be happy to discuss this on the phone if you'd like.
laissez faire,
bk
http://bkmarcus.com/blog/
Update:
As of today (Thursday, September 22nd) the Mises Store no longer carries the old $5 version of
What Has Government Done to Our Money. The new version is a combination of that book and "The Case for the 100 Percent Gold Dollar":